Archive for February 2015

An Astro-Trading Oil Prices Chart?

As I noted recently in the latest installment of the Astro-Traders Tip of the Week, the big event that astro-traders need to keep an eye on right now is the conjunction of the Sun with Neptune at 11:55 p.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday night, February 25.

Potential EuroZone Confusion

This alignment will take place at 7 degrees Pisces, a position that puts it in conjunction with Saturn in the May 17, 1876 horoscope for the Amsterdam Stock Exchange.

While that connection suggests that we’ll want to watch for continuing developments in EU politics during the coming weeks, the Sun/Neptune combination promotes confusion and illusory thinking in general. This could mean some speculative opportunities that seem to be too good to be true (and probably are), along with duplicity, muddled market signals, and self-deception.

Why An Oil Prices Chart?

But Neptune is also traditionally associated with petroleum, so a horoscope for the conjunction tonight could in one sense be considered an oil prices chart as well.

Sun Neptune 2015 Oil Prices Chart

The 90-degree dial presentation of the horoscope for the Sun/Neptune conjunction on February 25 can function as an oil prices chart if we pay attention to the midpoint structures.

The Sun/Neptune conjunction aligns with the midpoint of Chiron and Admetos, which suggests problematic circumstances with regard to basic raw materials, including petroleum. I noted the roles of Neptune and Admetos in a recent blog post on oil prices chart considerations.

Stressful situations like this one that include a Chiron factor often turn out to be blessings in disguise, however, especially for the financial players that have hidden interests or unexpected connections.

Note as well that the Sun/Neptune conjunction also activates the Hades/Poseidon midpoint (defective thinking, unclear communications, core deficiencies). There’s also an impact here on the Uranus/Apollon alignment (the tension of uncertainty impacted by sudden shifts in supply and demand).

Stock Trading Possibilities

While all these factors contribute to the usefulness of the Sun/Neptune conjunction horoscope as an oil prices chart, there are also opportunities for profitable stock market trades that accompany the Sun/Neptune conjunction.

As we noted in a recent article at FinancialCyclesWeekly.com, “this planetary aspect typically follows an upward-trending market, which tends to culminate about nine or ten days after the alignment, prior to a strong sell-off.” That could offer some short-term trading opportunities now for savvy astro-traders – you can read about “The Sun/Neptune Conjunction and the S&P” HERE.

Cycle Trading Harmonies

It’s probably no surprise that I’ve had Cycle Trading on my mind a lot lately.

As a matter of fact, it’s been popping up no matter which way I turn!

Cycle Trading FCW 1508

Financial Cycles Weekly for February 22, 2015 highlights Cycle Trading.

The current week’s issue of the Financial Cycles Weekly newsletter features a cover story on the subject, complete with some W. D. Gann connections and notes on our latest research on the Mars Cycle Trading impact on the S&P 500, as illustrated with a monthly chart for that index.

While it’s always been clear to me that Gann’s work in Cycle Trading was extremely important, I’ve recently become more and more impressed with his innovative insights as I’ve personally explored the intricacies of cycle trading in greater detail.

That was one of the things that motivated my recent video on Gann Cycle Trading, in which I underscored the remarkable degree to which W. D. Gann’s observations a century ago still apply to the market conditions we are experiencing today.

The role of eclipse Saros cycles has come into focus for me lately as well, as I’ve explored the anticipated impact of the March total eclipse on cycle trading during the coming months as I’ve  prepared for the publication of the new book that I’m co-authoring with Jim Cummins, Global Game Change: Power and Profit at the Equinox Eclipse.

Cycle Trading Cash Mini-Course

And of course there’s the brand-new Cycle Trading Cash Mini-Course. We successfully launched this new project over the weekend, and presented a special webinar on “How You Can Profit from Cycle Trading in Any Market” as a part of the introduction. That kept me pretty busy, too.

But the main thing about the new mini-course is that it’s up and running now. If you’re interested in Cycle Trading at all, I’d encourage you to take a look at it.

You can enroll at any time you like and go through the lessons in a systematic fashion to complete the course in about three weeks. You can check it out at http://vibrationcode.com/ctc01.

Interestingly enough, you might think that having so many different cycle trading activities going on a once might feel a little overwhelming.

But that hasn’t been true for me.

Instead of feeling like I’m being pulled in lots of different directions at once, I’ve found that all the cycle trading activities that have been going on have actually started harmonizing with each other in some very profound ways.

If anything, it’s given me a deeper sense of clarity and confidence.

I know that may sound kind of mysterious.

But harmony is really what cycle trading (and actually any kind cycle study) is all about, isn’t it?

10-Year Gann Cycles in Trading

Exploring the W. D. Gann cycles work is a never-ending source of inspiration.

For W. D. Gann cycles and vibrations were a core part of market analysis and forecasting, as he summarized so succinctly in his book The Tunnel Thru The Air:

“In making my calculations for the stock market, or any future event, I get the past history and find out what cycle we are in and then predict the curve for the future, which is a repetition of past market movements,” he said. “The great law of vibration is based on like producing like.”

As astro-traders, it’s vital that we understand the importance of Gann cycles in market timing.

In this video I’ve taken about six minutes to provide a quick review of one the most important Gann cycles that the legendary trader used in his remarkable market forecasts nearly 100 years ago.

The 10-year cycle that Gann described still works today!

As you watch the video, remember that it just represents the tip of the iceberg in the study and application of Gann cycles!

Gann Cycles and Our New Mini-Course

By the way, if you aren’t already using cycle analysis in your own trading, you should definitely check out our new online mini-course on Cycle Trading Cash – we’re scheduled to launch this new program on February 21, the day after tomorrow!

This new mini-course is designed to give you the basics of cycle trading fast. It only takes about three weeks to go through all the course material, and even if you’re a complete newcomer to cycle trading you’ll grab the key insights and skills rapidly enough to start applying them in your own trading right away.

There’s a lot of emphasis on Gann cycles in the new course, but we also cover plenty of practical skills and trading tips that help make cycle trading easier for you.

You can get more information on the Cycle Trading Cash mini-course at: http://vibrationcode.com/CTC01

Hitting The Timer Digest Top 10

Timer Digest has been around for quite a few years now, and it provides a wonderful service.

You’ll want to check it out at https://timerdigest.com if you’re at all interested in picking the best times to get in or out of the market; in figuring out the emerging trends in stocks, bonds, or precious metals; or in deciding where you can get the most reliable investment advice.

The approach at Timer Digest is a simple one: the publication monitors more than 100 of the leading market timing models. It ranks the top stock, bond, and gold timing pundits according to the performance of their recommendations during various periods of time.

Timer Digest also publishes profiles of some of the top investment advisers and financial newsletter publishers, providing some great insights into their timing models and their approach to the markets.

Needless to say, Timer Digest doesn’t have a huge circulation. It’s mainly read by high-powered individual and institutional traders and investors. These are the ones who are looking for the best guidance they can find to bring financial success to themselves and their clients.

Timer Digest Is Not Just For Experts

Even so, it’s worth checking out even if you’re a newcomer to the markets, or if you’re just trading a limited account. It would easily cost you more than $20,000 a year to subscribe to all the publications and advisory services that Timer Digest reviews for each issue.

That means you get the cream of the crop – and you save a lot of time as well as money – when you read each issue.

Taking It Personally

As you’ve probably figured out by now, I’m a big fan of Timer Digest.

I’ve followed it off and on for a number of years, and have gotten lots of excellent ideas and insights by studying the forecasts and market timers it reviews.

That’s why I was particularly thrilled when the latest issue of Timer Digest arrived in my email inbox yesterday evening.

Timer Digest 2015Feb16

The Timer Digest list of the Top Ten Long Term Timers, published on February 16, 2015.

 

I was reading page 4, and reviewing the current list of the “Top Ten Long Term Timers” for the stock market.

To my delight, I saw that Financial Cycles Weekly is on the list!

Our members and subscribers have profited from our service for a long time, and we’ve already put together a solid 13-year track record of out-performing the major market averages year after year.

But this was the first time we’ve been ranked in this important publication.

That really felt good.

Actually, though, as I started to study the list a little more closely, I noticed an important side note: the asterisk beside my name on the list indicated that I was tied in ranking with others on the list.

As it turns out, Financial Cycles Weekly is now in a tie for second place on the Top 10 List, along with Dan Sullivan, Philip Michalek, Bernie Schaeffer, Marvin Appel, and other big names among the ranks of market forecasters.

That’s definitely something to be proud of – so we’ll be doing our best to stay in the Timer Digest Top 10!

Oil Prices Today & Tomorrow

So what’s really going on?

Have we seen a true bottom in oil prices today, or is the current upward movement just a sign of a dead-cat bounce?

That’s the topic of a feature article in the current issue of FinancialCyclesWeekly newsletter – it not only talks about the situation in oil prices today, but also reviews the potential for oil trends during the coming months.

Trade ETFs To Play Oil Prices Today

Although Crude Oil Futures grab most of the headlines when it comes to news about oil, remember that you can also get into the trading opportunities offered by oil prices today by getting into oil-based ETFs.

The ETFs don’t offer the same kind of leverage that futures contracts provide, but if you choose your ETF wisely you can still get a lot of bang for your buck, especially if you see that oil prices today are trending strongly.

USO Tracks Oil Prices Today

This trading chart for the USO ETF closely follows the current trend in Crude Oil, since the price of the ETF each day is based on what happens to oil prices today in the futures markets.

For example, United States Oil Fund Limited Partnership (USO) trades on the New York Stock Exchange as an ETF, providing good liquidity and a low barrier to entry for small-scale speculators looking for a play in the oil market, since it closely tracks the trading action in Crude Oil Futures.

The trading chart above shows the way that geocentric Mars and Admetos in the ninth harmonic work together to structure support and resistance in the market action in oil prices today, as reflected in the trading for USO.

Bring On The Transneptunians!

It’s interesting to note the role of the Transneptunian Admetos here.

Many financial astrologers associate the planet Neptune with the oil industry.

They aren’t wrong in doing so, but at times this astrological signature can limit their thinking.

If the observation of planetary factors ends there, it can actually become an obstacle to developing an assessment of oil prices today and a forecast for future trends.

Admetos is connected with raw materials in general, and can be a critical factor in assessing supply-and-demand questions. So when we look at it along with Mars, we can get a pretty good picture of some of the key forces behind oil prices today.

What Do Midpoints Say About Oil Prices Today?

The Mars/Admetos midpoint also figures prominently in the First-Trade horoscope for USO. It’s easy to see its importance on the 90° dial.

Oil Prices Today - USO FT Dial

If we want to figure out what’s going to be happening to oil prices today and in the future, a very good place to start is with the 90-degree dial for USO.

The First-Trade 90° dial for USO shown here reveals the potentially dramatic effect that we may see with Neptune’s retrograde station coming up on June 12, 2015.

The red arrow on the right side of the dial is the position of the Neptune station, which will trigger Moon/Venus, Mars/Admetos, Neptune/Kronos, and Jupiter/Node midpoints in the USO First-Trade horoscope.

This midpoint zone is extremely sensitive, and needs to be watched closely in forecasting oil prices today or at any future time.

By the way, this same midpoint zone has been repeatedly impacted by eclipses in recent years, including the solar eclipse on January 15, 2010, the solar eclipse on June 1, 2011, the lunar eclipse on October 18, 2013, and the lunar eclipse on April 15, 2014.

During the coming years we’ll also be watching the solar eclipse on September 1, 2016 and the lunar eclipse on July 16, 2019 and potential triggers for the oil market as well.

General Electric Transneptunians

isioWhen we took at look at the impact of Transneptunian factors on the performance of General Electric (GE) stock in a recent issue of the FinancialCyclesWeekly newsletter, we described this stock as “a boring blue chip”.

While it’s true that General Electric doesn’t often offer traders much excitement, it’s still a stock that’s worth keeping an eye on, especially if we’re trying to get some perspective on the overall prospects for the market as a whole.

Gеnеrаl Elесtrіс Stосk Returns

The General Elесtrіс Cоmраnу is one оf thе lаrgеѕt соmраnіеѕ in thе world. It has often bееn a bеllwеthеr stock used аѕ a gauge оf the оvеrаll hеаlth оf thе ѕtосk mаrkеt in general.

Onе оf thе reasons it has been given this role is the dіvеrѕіtу of Gеnеrаl Elесtrіс’ѕ products аnd ѕеrvісеѕ. Thе соmраnу іѕ іnvоlvеd in nеаrlу еvеrу market ѕеgmеnt frоm lіghtіng, tо fіnаnсіаl рrоduсtѕ, to thе aviation іnduѕtrу, to hеаlthсаrе, to thе tеlеvіѕіоn іnduѕtrу, аnd fіnаllу to the еnеrgу ѕесtоr. As a result, Gеnеrаl Electric’s profits and losses often соіnсіdе with thе оvеrаll health оf the есоnоmу as a whole.

Kronos at the Last General Electric Stock Split

Sіnсе 1975, General Electric hаѕ had five ѕtосk ѕрlіtѕ, with thе mоѕt rесеnt one bеіng a 3-fоr-1 ѕрlіt on May 8, 2000, when transiting Kronos turned the GE First-Trade Uranus/Poseidon opposition into a potent T-square as transiting Neptune conjoined the GE First-Trade Descendant.

General Electric Stock Split Horoscope

The General Electric stock price responds to planetary transits. Note the alignments of outer planets and Transneptunians on the date of a 3-for-1 stock split.

Durіng that tіmе, thе General Electric Cоmраnу hаѕ роѕtеd 25 positive-rеturnіng years аnd 14 years of nеgаtіvе returns. Ovеr hаlf оf the positive years rеѕultеd іn rеturnѕ greater thаn 25%, wіth thе highest thrее bеіng 65% іn 1982, 52% іn 1999, and 48% in 1997. Thе wоrѕt thrее реrfоrmіng уеаrѕ wеrе (-56%) in 2008, (-39%) in 2002, and (-16%) іn 2001. Except for an 11% loss in 1991, all thе rеmаіnіng losing уеаrѕ were (-10%) оr lеѕѕ.

A nісе еxаmрlе of thе ѕіmіlаrіtу оf General Electric’s stock performance аnd the оvеrаll ѕtосk market саn be done through a simple соmраrіѕоn оf thе уеаrlу rеturnѕ оf thе Dow Jones Induѕtrіаl Indеx (DJIA) аnd thе yearly rеturnѕ оf GE. Between 1975 and 2006, General Electric аnd the DJIA have mоvеd іn thе ѕаmе direction еvеrу уеаr except for 1994, whеn GE lоѕt 3% and thе DJIA gained 2%. In the eight years since then, the correspondence hasn’t been quite as strong, with GE losing ground in 2007, 2009, 2011, and 2014, which we all years in which the DJIA posted gains. Even, so, аѕ аn investor іt іѕ a good іdеа to kеер a сlоѕе wаtсh оn thе performance оf Gеnеrаl Elесtrіс ѕtосk.

Diversity and Long-Term Investment

Through іtѕ dіvеrѕе rаngе оf рrоduсtѕ, GE almost becomes a mini-index by іtѕеlf. From a very pragmatic perspective, General Electric is a great stock for long-term investors, mainly because its dіvеrѕіtу рrоvіdеѕ some built-in рrоtесtіоn аgаіnѕt many of thе vоlаtіlе uрѕ аnd dоwnѕ that рlаguе mаnу individual ѕtосkѕ.

Of соurѕе, if you’re playing the market for the long-term еvеn GE ѕhоuld bе раrt оf a wеll-bаlаnсеd роrtfоlіо rаthеr thаn a sole holding, with all your eggs in the General Electric basket. While іt mау bе “ѕаfеr” and mоrе ѕtаblе than many іndіvіduаl stocks, іt ѕtіll has more rіѕk than a wеll-dіvеrѕіfіеd роrtfоlіо.