In spite of the fact that one of our readers has dubbed the comments posted here on the Fed’s announcement today “the worst call out there”, it’s still interesting to see exactly what the markets actually did in the final hours of trading today– and to anticipate what the action in equities will look like tomorrow.
Throughout most of the trading day prior to the 2:00 p.m. announcement, stock prices were churning in a somewhat apprehensive market with a decidedly bearish bias.
But when the Fed announcement was released, it immediately became apparent that Mercury’s conjunction with the Fed Pluto was having exactly the kind of dramatic impact we had anticipated. The major market indices all rallied, breaking into positive territory and pushing to new heights by the end of the trading session.
The S&P not only rallied, it also managed to hit yet another all-time record high by the time the closing bell on Wall Street rang. Note as well that both Gold and the Euro showed significant strength for the day.
It was also worth watching the VIX during the trading session. This measure of market volatility took a sharp plunge right after the Fed’s announcement, confirming the old “buy the rumor, sell the fact” adage– once the facts were known about the Fed’s intentions, a lot of the uncertainty that had roiled the market action earlier in the day began to fade away.
In looking at the VIX chart, it’s worth observing that the index had already risen to the higher levels we had forecast last week as a potential response to Mercury’s retrograde passage over the cardinal axis. We’re still looking for more action in this Fear Index during the coming weeks, with a return to higher levels of volatility as we approach the July 4 Independence Day holiday.
This dramatic action in the VIX was further confirmation of the power of the Mercury/Pluto combination that made the timing for this event so noteworthy.
But even though the Mercury/Pluto action bore out the forecast, I had also looked at the Mars transit to the Fed chart and had assumed that the market’s reaction to the announcement would be “less than enthusiastic,” based largely on the activation of the Moon/Saturn midpoint in the Fed horoscope.
Things didn’t turn out that way.
We certainly didn’t see a negative reaction in equities during the remainder of the trading day. But Mars moves more slowly than Mercury, so the impact of its transit is likely to carry on a little longer. That’s one of the reasons why we’re still anticipating a pull-back in stock prices before the end of the week– and why our Gold-Plus Elite members at FinancialCyclesWeekly.com are planning to add to the short positions in our Model Portfolio before the market closes on Friday..
Remember, too, that the influence of the Federal Reserve goes far beyond just the price of stocks. The Fed’s announcements have a big impact on currencies, of course, which is why it was particularly interesting to see what happened to the dollar this afternoon: